River Calldown OOP Analysis #1

River Call Analysis

Scenario 1:
UTG2 raise 2.5x, Hero calls (HJ), BU and SB calls

Flop [8d2d9s]
UTG2 bet 1/3 herocalls (87s), BU calls

Turn: 2s
UTG2 bet1/4, hero calls, BU calls

River Jc
UTG2 bet 1/8, hero calls


UTG+2 range when betting the river
Mostly A high FD heavy and 2nd pairs
[remove 98s]

If villain bets 2/3 pot, we need to defend 66% of the combos we come to the river with. Assuming that we're folding our A high FD and K high, we still need to fold 2 more combos: I decided that we should fold 50% of the worse 8x hands in our range: which is 87s
[98s will be a raise on the river, as well as J9s]


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